Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment
edited by Gregg Garfin by Angela Jardine, Robert Merideth, Mary Black and Sarah LeRoy
Island Press, 2013 eISBN: 978-1-61091-484-0 | Paper: 978-1-61091-446-8 Library of Congress Classification QC903.2.U6A85 2013 Dewey Decimal Classification 551.6979
ABOUT THIS BOOK | AUTHOR BIOGRAPHY | TOC | REQUEST ACCESSIBLE FILE
ABOUT THIS BOOK
Prepared for the 2013 National Climate Assessment and a landmark study in terms of its breadth and depth of coverage, this report blends the contributions of 120 experts in climate science, economics, ecology, engineering, geography, hydrology, planning, resources management, and other disciplines to provide the most comprehensive, and understandable, analysis to date about climate and its effects on the people and landscapes of Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah—including the U.S.-Mexico border region and the lands of Native Nations.
What is the climate of the Southwest like today? What has it been like in the past, and how is it projected to change over the 21st century? How will that affect water resources, ecosystems, agricultural production, energy supply and delivery, transportation, human health, and a host of other areas? How vulnerable is the region to climate change? What else do we need to know about it, and how can we limit its adverse effects?
In addressing these and other questions, the book offers decision makers and stakeholders a substantial basis from which to make informed choices that will affect the well-being of the region’s inhabitants in the decades to come.
AUTHOR BIOGRAPHY
Gregg Garfin is Deputy Director for Science Translation & Outreach, Institute of the Environment, and Assistant Professor in the School of Natural Resources and the Environment at the University of Arizona. Angela Jardine has been an environmental scientist for over ten years. She is currently at the Amazon rainforest at the Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia in Manaus, Brazil. Robert Merideth is editor in chief and a senior researcher at the Udall Center for Studies in Public Policy at the University of Arizona. Mary Black has worked as an editor, writer, anthropological linguist, and librarian for the University of Arizona. She currently serves as a liaison with federal agencies, tribes, and scientists. Sarah LeRoy is a Research and Outreach Scientist for the Institute of the Environment at the University of Arizona where she is the editor for the Southwest Climate Change Network.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chapter 1. Summary for Decision Makers
-Introduction
-Observed Recent Climatic Change in the Southwest
-Projected Future Climatic Change in the Southwest
-Recent and Future Effects of Climatic Change in the Southwest
-Choices for Adjusting to Climate and Climate Change
-Key Unknowns
PART I. Context
Chapter 2. Overview
-Introduction
-Context and Scope
-Other Southwest Region Climate Assessments
-Sponsors and Authors of the 2012 SRCA
-Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty
-Accountability and Review
-Organization of this Report
Chapter 3. The Changing Southwest
-Lay of the Land: Geographical Themes and Features
-Land Use and Land Cover
PART II. Weather and Climate of the Southwest
Chapter 4. Present Weather and Climate: Average Conditions
-Introduction
-General Climate Characteristics
-Major Climate and Weather Events
-Climate Variability
Chapter 5. Present Weather and Climate: Evolving Conditions
-Introduction
-Climate of the First Decade of the Twenty-first Century
-Climate Trends for 1901-2010
-Extreme Weather Variability During 1901-2010
-Summertime Drought During 1901-2010
-Hydroclimatic Variability During 1901-2010
-Paleoclimate of the Southwest United States
-Future Monitoring and Science Needs
Chapter 6. Future Climate: Projected Average
-Global Climate Models: Statistical and Dynamical Downscaling
-Climate Scenarios
-Data Sources
-Temperature Projections
-Projections of Other Temperature Variables
-Precipitation Projections
-Atmospheric Circulation Changes
-North American Monsoon
-Changes in Precipitation-related Measures
PART III. Effects of Climate Change in the Southwest
Chapter 8. Natural Ecosystems
-Introduction: Climate, Climate Change, and Ecosystems of the Southwest
-Phenology and Species Interactions
-Southwestern Deserts
-Southwestern Forests
Chapter 9. Coastal Issues
-Coastal Assets
-Observed Threats
-Ocean and Coastal Impacts to Ecosystems
-Coastal Impacts to Communities
-Managing Coastal Climate Risks
Chapter 10. Water: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation
-Introduction
-Physical Changes to the Water Cycle
-Human and Natural Systems Impacts, Risks and Vulnerabilities
-Water Sector Adaptation Activities
-Planning Techniques and Stationarity
-Potential Supply and Demand Strategies and Solutions
-Barriers to Climate Change Adaptation
-Federal Adaptation Initiatives
-SECURE Water Act Overview
-Western States Federal Agency Support Team (WestFAST)
-Climate Change and Water Working Group (CCAWWG)
-State Adaptation Efforts
-Regional and Municipal Adaptation Efforts
Chapter 11. Agriculture and Ranching
-Distinctive Features of Southwestern Agriculture
-Implications for Specialty Crops
-On-farm Water Management
-System-wide Water Management: Lessons from Programming Models of Water Allocation
-Ranching Adaptations to Multi-year Drought
-Disaster Relief Programs and Climate Adaptation
Chapter 12. Energy: Supply, Demand, and Impacts
-Introduction
-Energy in the Southwest: Past and Present
-Potential Climate Impacts on Energy
Chapter 13. Urban Areas
-Cities in the Southwest
-Pathways Through which Climate Change Will Affect Cities in the Southwest
-Critical Missing Data and Monitoring in Cities
Chapter 14. Transportation
-Introduction
-Passenger Transportation Trends in the Southwest
-Freight Movement in the Southwest
-Impacts of Climate Change
-Major Vulnerabilities and Uncertainties
Chapter 15. Human Health
-Introduction
-Current Climate-Related Health Concerns in the Southwest
-Climate Change and Potential Health Implications
-Observed and Predicted Effects on Health from Climate Change
-Uncertainties
-Public Health Planning for Climate Change
Chapter 16. Climate Change and U.S.-Mexico Border Communities
-Introduction
-Definition of the Border Region
-Border Region Climate Variability, Climate Change, and Impacts
-Understanding Vulnerability, Risk, and Adaptive Capacity in the Border Region
-Sectoral Analysis of Border Vulnerability
Chapter 17. Unique Challenges Facing Southwestern Tribes
-Introduction
-The Effects of Marginal Living Conditions and Extreme Climatic Environments
-Current Impacts on Native lands
-Potential Rangeland Impacts
-Adaptation Strategies and Adaptation Planning
-Challenges for Adaptation Planning
-Vulnerability from Economic, Political, and Legal Stresses
- Climate Change Mitigation Strategies
PART IV. Options and Research Needs
Chapter 18. Climate Choices for a Sustainable Southwest
-Introduction
-Defining a Sustainable Approach to Climate Change in the Southwest
-Making a Sustainable Living in the Southwest: Lessons from History
-Limiting Emissions in the Southwest
-Adaptation Options in the Southwest
-Linking Mitigation and Adaptation
-Barriers to Planning for and Implementing Climate Solutions
-Coping with the Risks of Rapid Climate Changes
-Research Gaps
Chapter 19. Moving Forward with Imperfect Information
-Introduction
-Uncertainty Typologies
-Confidence and Uncertainty
-What Is Known and Not Known About Climate in the Southwest
-Moving Forward
Chapter 20. Research Strategies for Addressing Uncertainties
-Introduction
-Developing Research Strategies from Information Needs
-Research Strategies Derived from the Southwest Climate Assessment
-Research Strategies from Southwestern Ecoregional Initiatives
-Strategies to Improve Characterization in Climate and Hydrology
-Strategies to Improve Characterization of Impacts and Vulnerabilities
REQUEST ACCESSIBLE FILE
If you are a student who cannot use this book in printed form, BiblioVault may be able to supply you
with an electronic file for alternative access.
Please have the accessibility coordinator at your school fill out this form.
Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment
edited by Gregg Garfin by Angela Jardine, Robert Merideth, Mary Black and Sarah LeRoy
Island Press, 2013 eISBN: 978-1-61091-484-0 Paper: 978-1-61091-446-8
Prepared for the 2013 National Climate Assessment and a landmark study in terms of its breadth and depth of coverage, this report blends the contributions of 120 experts in climate science, economics, ecology, engineering, geography, hydrology, planning, resources management, and other disciplines to provide the most comprehensive, and understandable, analysis to date about climate and its effects on the people and landscapes of Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah—including the U.S.-Mexico border region and the lands of Native Nations.
What is the climate of the Southwest like today? What has it been like in the past, and how is it projected to change over the 21st century? How will that affect water resources, ecosystems, agricultural production, energy supply and delivery, transportation, human health, and a host of other areas? How vulnerable is the region to climate change? What else do we need to know about it, and how can we limit its adverse effects?
In addressing these and other questions, the book offers decision makers and stakeholders a substantial basis from which to make informed choices that will affect the well-being of the region’s inhabitants in the decades to come.
AUTHOR BIOGRAPHY
Gregg Garfin is Deputy Director for Science Translation & Outreach, Institute of the Environment, and Assistant Professor in the School of Natural Resources and the Environment at the University of Arizona. Angela Jardine has been an environmental scientist for over ten years. She is currently at the Amazon rainforest at the Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia in Manaus, Brazil. Robert Merideth is editor in chief and a senior researcher at the Udall Center for Studies in Public Policy at the University of Arizona. Mary Black has worked as an editor, writer, anthropological linguist, and librarian for the University of Arizona. She currently serves as a liaison with federal agencies, tribes, and scientists. Sarah LeRoy is a Research and Outreach Scientist for the Institute of the Environment at the University of Arizona where she is the editor for the Southwest Climate Change Network.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chapter 1. Summary for Decision Makers
-Introduction
-Observed Recent Climatic Change in the Southwest
-Projected Future Climatic Change in the Southwest
-Recent and Future Effects of Climatic Change in the Southwest
-Choices for Adjusting to Climate and Climate Change
-Key Unknowns
PART I. Context
Chapter 2. Overview
-Introduction
-Context and Scope
-Other Southwest Region Climate Assessments
-Sponsors and Authors of the 2012 SRCA
-Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty
-Accountability and Review
-Organization of this Report
Chapter 3. The Changing Southwest
-Lay of the Land: Geographical Themes and Features
-Land Use and Land Cover
PART II. Weather and Climate of the Southwest
Chapter 4. Present Weather and Climate: Average Conditions
-Introduction
-General Climate Characteristics
-Major Climate and Weather Events
-Climate Variability
Chapter 5. Present Weather and Climate: Evolving Conditions
-Introduction
-Climate of the First Decade of the Twenty-first Century
-Climate Trends for 1901-2010
-Extreme Weather Variability During 1901-2010
-Summertime Drought During 1901-2010
-Hydroclimatic Variability During 1901-2010
-Paleoclimate of the Southwest United States
-Future Monitoring and Science Needs
Chapter 6. Future Climate: Projected Average
-Global Climate Models: Statistical and Dynamical Downscaling
-Climate Scenarios
-Data Sources
-Temperature Projections
-Projections of Other Temperature Variables
-Precipitation Projections
-Atmospheric Circulation Changes
-North American Monsoon
-Changes in Precipitation-related Measures
PART III. Effects of Climate Change in the Southwest
Chapter 8. Natural Ecosystems
-Introduction: Climate, Climate Change, and Ecosystems of the Southwest
-Phenology and Species Interactions
-Southwestern Deserts
-Southwestern Forests
Chapter 9. Coastal Issues
-Coastal Assets
-Observed Threats
-Ocean and Coastal Impacts to Ecosystems
-Coastal Impacts to Communities
-Managing Coastal Climate Risks
Chapter 10. Water: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation
-Introduction
-Physical Changes to the Water Cycle
-Human and Natural Systems Impacts, Risks and Vulnerabilities
-Water Sector Adaptation Activities
-Planning Techniques and Stationarity
-Potential Supply and Demand Strategies and Solutions
-Barriers to Climate Change Adaptation
-Federal Adaptation Initiatives
-SECURE Water Act Overview
-Western States Federal Agency Support Team (WestFAST)
-Climate Change and Water Working Group (CCAWWG)
-State Adaptation Efforts
-Regional and Municipal Adaptation Efforts
Chapter 11. Agriculture and Ranching
-Distinctive Features of Southwestern Agriculture
-Implications for Specialty Crops
-On-farm Water Management
-System-wide Water Management: Lessons from Programming Models of Water Allocation
-Ranching Adaptations to Multi-year Drought
-Disaster Relief Programs and Climate Adaptation
Chapter 12. Energy: Supply, Demand, and Impacts
-Introduction
-Energy in the Southwest: Past and Present
-Potential Climate Impacts on Energy
Chapter 13. Urban Areas
-Cities in the Southwest
-Pathways Through which Climate Change Will Affect Cities in the Southwest
-Critical Missing Data and Monitoring in Cities
Chapter 14. Transportation
-Introduction
-Passenger Transportation Trends in the Southwest
-Freight Movement in the Southwest
-Impacts of Climate Change
-Major Vulnerabilities and Uncertainties
Chapter 15. Human Health
-Introduction
-Current Climate-Related Health Concerns in the Southwest
-Climate Change and Potential Health Implications
-Observed and Predicted Effects on Health from Climate Change
-Uncertainties
-Public Health Planning for Climate Change
Chapter 16. Climate Change and U.S.-Mexico Border Communities
-Introduction
-Definition of the Border Region
-Border Region Climate Variability, Climate Change, and Impacts
-Understanding Vulnerability, Risk, and Adaptive Capacity in the Border Region
-Sectoral Analysis of Border Vulnerability
Chapter 17. Unique Challenges Facing Southwestern Tribes
-Introduction
-The Effects of Marginal Living Conditions and Extreme Climatic Environments
-Current Impacts on Native lands
-Potential Rangeland Impacts
-Adaptation Strategies and Adaptation Planning
-Challenges for Adaptation Planning
-Vulnerability from Economic, Political, and Legal Stresses
- Climate Change Mitigation Strategies
PART IV. Options and Research Needs
Chapter 18. Climate Choices for a Sustainable Southwest
-Introduction
-Defining a Sustainable Approach to Climate Change in the Southwest
-Making a Sustainable Living in the Southwest: Lessons from History
-Limiting Emissions in the Southwest
-Adaptation Options in the Southwest
-Linking Mitigation and Adaptation
-Barriers to Planning for and Implementing Climate Solutions
-Coping with the Risks of Rapid Climate Changes
-Research Gaps
Chapter 19. Moving Forward with Imperfect Information
-Introduction
-Uncertainty Typologies
-Confidence and Uncertainty
-What Is Known and Not Known About Climate in the Southwest
-Moving Forward
Chapter 20. Research Strategies for Addressing Uncertainties
-Introduction
-Developing Research Strategies from Information Needs
-Research Strategies Derived from the Southwest Climate Assessment
-Research Strategies from Southwestern Ecoregional Initiatives
-Strategies to Improve Characterization in Climate and Hydrology
-Strategies to Improve Characterization of Impacts and Vulnerabilities
REQUEST ACCESSIBLE FILE
If you are a student who cannot use this book in printed form, BiblioVault may be able to supply you
with an electronic file for alternative access.
Please have the accessibility coordinator at your school fill out this form.
It can take 2-3 weeks for requests to be filled.
ABOUT THIS BOOK | AUTHOR BIOGRAPHY | TOC | REQUEST ACCESSIBLE FILE